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They are hiding the ballot boxes, he added. For the rich, it awards the big federal construction and service contracts, although AMLO has gone out of his way to alienate many corporate leaders and has favored but a few, starting with billionaire Carlos Slim. Colombia, in particular, moved from partially free to free in Freedom Houses latest report, jumping six points from last year. I think it was a very good turnout, taking into account very unfavorable conditions for people to vote: there was no clear opponent, there was no competition., She added: It was almost like a symbolic battle.. And Lpez Obrador himself cant even run in 2024he just wants to make sure the dedazofinds the right candidatemeaning that his chosen successor makes their way into office. We have to expect continued trouble for Mexico. Twitter:@rociofabbro. [5] Other potential candidates proposed by Lpez Obrador himself include Rosa Icela Rodrguez, Tatiana Clouthier, Juan Ramn de la Fuente, Roco Nahle, and Esteban Moctezuma. Lpez Obradors gambit is the latest in a line of incumbent power grabs in the hemisphere, including insurrections and doubt about electoral integrity stoked by former U.S. President Donald Trump and former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, former Peruvian President Pedro Castillos attempt to dissolve Congress late last year, and El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukeles widespread. Mexico City . MEXICO CITY, April 10 (Reuters) - Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office . The undisputed winner, beyond the war of figures and narratives, is the I.N.E., said Carlos Bravo Regidor, a political analyst. Voting lines were several blocks long at a poll in Mexico City. Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta - Wikipedia With the INE reforms, Lpez Obrador is making it easier for incumbents and their parties, like his Morena coalition, as well as other groups to challenge electoral outcomes if they dont like them, Rudman said. Mexican presidents are limited to a single six-year term. Celia Talbot Tobin for The New York Times. It seems that only an act of God could dislodge President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them, Donald Trumps Republican support erodes in Iowa, even as many remain committed, RNC chair says 2024 GOP candidates must sign pledge to participate in debates, Former governor on White House campaign: 'Why not me? The members of the legislature elected on this date will be the first allowed to run for re-election in subsequent elections. The economy contracted 8.5% in 2020, though it is now clawing back . The presidents attention is devoted to lining up a successor, but several figures in the ruling party want the nomination. Its a strange year for climate policy in the United States. Monreal has been the presidents ally for the past two decades. AQ Podcast: Denise Dresser on Mexico-US Relations and What AMLO Really Wants, PUBLISHED BY Originally from Tabasco, AMLOs home state, the relationship between the two goes beyond politics. Your guide to the most important world stories of the day. Despite Low Turnout, Mexico Voters Back President to Stay in Office President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador drew overwhelming support among those who cast ballots, but the recall referendum. That is why its crucial that Mexicans channel these civil society protests electorally when the time comes, he said. Such is the case with Ricardo Anaya of the Partido de Accin Nacional (PAN), who ended up in second place to AMLO in 2018. The details remain to be seen. While we diligently research and update our holiday dates, some of the information in the table above may be preliminary. The Ballad of 'Deepfake Drake' - The New York Times AMERICAS SOCIETY/COUNCIL OF THE AMERICAS. The economy has grown by a meager 1.8% in the first three months of 2022. On Wednesday, a DeSantis-appointed board voted to invalidate a Disney-friendly agreement, a move that prompted Walt Disney World to file a federal lawsuit accusing the DeSantis administration of engaging in a targeted campaign of government relation.. But last year, the party lost several critical seats in the capitals legislature while Ms. Sheinbaum was running the city, which was seen as a potential blow to her political future. There are signs AMLO will go to great lengths to have a successor elected. One of Lpez Obrador's main policy initiatives has been to save the state-owned oil company that Crdenas founded from crushing debt and low oil production. Elections are always tricky to predict, even in the most stable governments. AMLO is hoping for his successor to continue his political programknown as the Fourth Transformationeven though with two years left in his presidency, his hoped-for legacy on combating poverty and inequality seems thin. The irony is that Lpez Obrador was elected to succeed an unpopular president from the Institutional Revolutionary Party, which ran Mexico for most of the time from its revolution more than a century ago until a couple of decades back. MEXICO CITY -- Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador held a massive rally in Mexico Citys main plaza attended by tens of thousands of people Saturday. On the Democratic side, Marianne Williamson, an author and spiritual leader is the first to announce her candidacy, running on a progressive platform. ), Poll shows Trump lagging: Donald Trumps Republican support erodes in Iowa, even as many remain committed, Republican loyalty pledge: RNC chair says 2024 GOP candidates must sign pledge to participate in debates. The Change of Federal Government Mexico is a Statutory holiday in Mexico that takes place very six years. Its also concerning to note that major opposition figures who have stated an interest in competing in 2024 are facing investigations and criticism from government figures and entities controlled by AMLO or his allies. Monday, March 6, 2023 Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO By Carin Zissis Check support levels for Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradorand polling for potential successorsas he enters the last two years of his presidency. "Mexico is a free and independent country, not a colony or protectorate of the United States, he said, shouting: Cooperation, yes, submission, no!. Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. They are also a signal to the Supreme Court that there is strong public opposition against the reforms. How the next 3 weeks at the U.S.-Mexico border could shape the 2024 The day marks the new president of Mexico taking office. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with FP columnist Steven A. Cook and Gonul Tol, the founding director of the Turkey program at the Middle East Institute. The presidential electoral cycle for 2024 hasnt officially begun, per rules set by the electoral commission, but all three main contenders for the next presidential nomination were there. Lopez Obrador's successor is scheduled to be elected in June 2024. Weekly update on developments in India and its neighbors. From rubies in Mozambique to sand in the South China Sea. With Morena in power, the rich may not see economic prosperity, but they are not personally suffering, so it does not matter to the rich in the end game if Morena wins or loses. Luis Barron / Eyepix Groupn/Future Publishing via Getty Images. And other countries are operating, at present, without notable interruptions, including Argentina, which will hold federal elections later this year, as well as Uruguay, which has elections in 2024. When is the next presidential election? What to know about 2024 race Mexican President's Party Wins Most States in Sunday Elections - US News April 28, 2023. Turkeys leader for the last two decades, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, could be defeated in the countrys next presidential election, scheduled for May 14. Original music by Dan Powell and . Change of Federal Government in Mexico in 2024 | Office Holidays Mexico's presidential election: Five things to know | CNN Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO | AS/COA What does President Luiz Incio Lula da Silvas return mean for Latin America and its role on the world stage? Mexico's constitution of 1917 established economic and political principles for the country, including the role of its president. But with President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradors popularity still high and the opposition largely boycotting the event, the results of the referendum were almost assured. Opinion | Who will be Mexico's next president? AMLO has too much say Anteriormente, los presidentes electos asuman el mandato el 1 de diciembre y seis aos despus pasaban la . China hawks spread their wings ahead of the 2024 election season. Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. If you find an error, please let us know. The final outcome may yet alter the political mood in Mexico, showing the president and his party which parts of the country, and which potential successors, will be most important to securing the presidency in 2024. In a moment that went viral, DeSantis was visibly unnerved by the questions and seemed unable to respond in a way that appeared prepared. You may opt out at any time. They discussed the IRA, cooperation with China, and this years forthcoming Conference of Parties climate summit in Dubai. [4], Claudia Sheinbaum, head of government of Mexico City, has been proposed as a potential successor to Lpez Obrador, on multiple occasions she has stated that "Mexico is ready to elect a female president" and enjoys the support of high ranking members of the governing MORENA party such as governors Layda Sansores of Campeche and Alfonso Durazo of Sonora. In 30 of Mexico's states, there will be elections for state congress and for mayors as well. The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. Watchthe full discussion on video orreada lightly edited and condensed transcript, exclusive to FPInsiders. It was proposed by Lpez Obrador himself during his candidacy in the 2018 election and requested by opponents and supporters of his government. The Race Begins for Mexico's Next President By Ana Paula Ordorica | July 14, 2022 The president's attention is devoted to lining up a successor, but several figures in the ruling party want the nomination. Nov. 5, 2024 . Members of Congress and voters are choosing the fight they think is more important.. There has been a long trend of really significant anti-democratic instincts in Lpez Obrador, said Thomas Carothers, co-director of the Democracy, Conflict, and Governance Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Days to Presidents' Day 2022. And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world.. What a New York court case revealed about the war on drugs. But as the initial results began rolling in, it became clear that Ms. Sheinbaums efforts seemed to have fallen short: Despite ubiquitous advertising and consistent promotion from the mayor, the participation rate in Mexico City was not among the top five states. The institutes request for more funding from the federal government to oversee the vote was rejected. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. After that, the party's candidate is likely to take center stage. List of presidents of Mexico | Britannica Analysis: Mexican president's looming election win masks - Reuters Schools and most businesses are open. Mexican general election is not a public holiday in 2023. The backsliding trend across the Americas is especially marked by the closing of civic spaces and civil society, attacks on democratic institutions from within, incumbent institutional restructuring, impunity for corruption, disregard for human rights, and the influence of other actors like organized crime networks and anti-democratic forces from China, Russia, Iran, and Cuba, Berthin said. From his presidential campaign, Lpez Obrador promised to hold a recall election two years into his eventual government. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. Here's a glance at the hopefuls: Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, of the MORENA party, gives a thumbs up to supporters at the end of his closing campaign rally at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Wednesday, June 27 . It may all boil down to whether or not the middle class has had enough of AMLO and his so-called Fourth Transformation (4T) politics, and whether they are ready to vote. For the particular modifications in the Constitution, the Chamber of Deputies voted 356 in favor and 84 against. Lorenzo Crdova is a lawyer and a scholar, a man with an office full of books. Natasha Korecki is a senior national political reporter for NBC News. Lpez Obradors Reforms Threaten Mexican Democracy. She was elected mayor as a feminist with a progressive agenda, but in trying to please AMLO, Sheinbaum has changed her tune, initially dismissing feminist street protests (an attitude in line with the presidents approach to discontent with his government). But they will likely have the opposite effect and help usher Lpez Obradors preferred successor into office. But most agree that few of the presidential hopefuls can match the popularity of a president whose approval ratings are routinely above 60%. The latest reforms were plan B, following a failed attempt at a sweeping constitutional reform last December that sought even more extreme measures to restrict electoral agencies and remove their independence. Some of these polls asked if the respondents approved of the president, not necessarily their stance on the referendum. They are hypocrites, he said of U.S. politicians calling for such measures, because they don't do anything to reduce drug consumption in the United States. The Current One Has Too Much to Say,, the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. Delivered Thursday. Add to that the Mexican components of political subtexts, conspiracy theories and dubious opinion-polling, it could be a huge leap to make a prediction a little less than three years out. The president has struggled to follow through on key campaign promises, with his approval rating slipping to 59 percent last month from 66 percent in December, according to a poll from El Economista newspaper. "Theres not been any thing set," he said. 2016, 2018, 2020. Background [ edit] Teachers Appreciation Day is a festive event to honor teachers and other education workers in Mexico. There are more than 1,900 mayoral contests and local . The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. Politics, Business & Culture in the Americas. Time and Date AS 19952023. Others in the governors orbit, however, have argued that that date would be too soon, according to two of those sources. Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador is holding a massive rally in Mexico City's main plaza with tens of thousands of people. A former Mexican security officials corruption charges reveal the hidden politics of the drug trade. So, with a budget that was about half as much as what it said it needed, the watchdog set up far fewer ballot boxes than it would have in a presidential election. At Long Last, the Foreign Service Gets the Netflix Treatment, A BRICS Currency Could Shake the Dollars Dominance, Biden Is Rewriting the Rules on Tradeand Americans Should Be Worried, In Sudan, U.S. Policies Paved the Way for War, Adam Tooze: When National Security Trumps All, John Kerry: The IRA Is Working on Overdrive. Americans vote for a new president every four years, as outlined in the U.S. Constitution. Mexican citizens cast their votes during the general election (Elecciones generales de Mxico) on the first Sunday of July every 6 years. Instead, the next two years saw more homicides than ever before, and Mexico's economy was shrinking even before the pandemic hit. Mexico's president is destroying democracy from the inside. 2024 Mexican general election - Wikipedia the World Justice Project index, Mexico has fallen nine points in just the last year to 113th place out of 139 countries in terms of fighting corruption. They are also a signal to the Supreme Court that there is strong public opposition against the reforms. And I think that at this stage, the government doesnt have the four secure votes that it needs in the Supreme Court for it to be sustained.. The president also has the right to issue . The president of Mexico cannot be re-elected after serving a six-year term, according to the countrys constitution. [5], Potential candidates on the right include PRI's Enrique de la Madrid and Claudia Ruiz Massieu, cabinet members during the presidency of Enrique Pea Nieto, as well as Beatriz Paredes, a PRI senator, Damin Zepeda, former president of PAN, Juan Carlos Romero Hicks, representative from PAN, Santiago Creel, a former senator and Secretary of the Interior from PAN, and Lilly Tllez, former journalist, and now senator from PAN. DeSantis, long viewed as Trumps strongest Republican challenger in 2024, has traveled far outside Florida in recent weeks to raise his profile. Lorenzo Crdova Vianello, director of INE. And Latin America is on the same path.. Anyone can read what you share. Emmanuel Macron served Xi Jinping a strategic triumph on a silver platter. And then, once in power, started trying to subvert the system to remain in power, Rudman said. And the Morena government knows far too well that it cannot control the middle class, because that group has not gotten anything out of the AMLO administration, unless substandard public schools, overcrowded and underfunded health care, and a weakened buying power constitute a benefit. No party is allowed to hold more than 300 seats. These polls were conducted after the federal law for recall elections and the referendum question were published. [1/3] Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador gestures during a news conference after nearly 92% of voters backed him to stay in office in a recall election with a low turnout, according to . The wild card in this particular electoral round is that there may not be enough cash to pay more voters as a counterbalance to Mexicos now-angry middle classes, who may come out to vote in mass on principle. Delivered Friday. Rocio Fabbro is an intern atForeign Policy. Presidents' Day 2022 - Calendar Date The meetings come at a precarious national moment for DeSantis. With that, on 4 February, the call for consultation was approved, causing the installation of 57,377 polling stations and 1.5 billion Mexican pesos available for the INE, less than half of the initially requested money. In the order in which the current president seems to prefer them, they are: Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum; current Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez; and Secretary of State Marcelo Ebrard. [8], Despite being planned for 2021, the constitutional changes stipulated its realization one year later, in 2022. Mexican presidential front-runner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador heads into Sunday's watershed election with a substantial lead in the polls and the hopes of a country disenchanted with . DeSantis has brushed off questions about his 2024 aspirations, often in an awkward fashion, which has amplified the idea he might not be ready for the presidential spotlight. Meanwhile, AMLO is already parading around his two potential replacements, the current mayor of Mexico City, Claudia Sheinbaum, seen with little backbone as she parrots his mantras daily to the degree of repeating his key phrases, a loyalty that has earned her the presidents favor, and the other front runner, Foreign Relations Secretary Marcelo Ebrard, also a former Mexico City mayor, who has quite a bit of baggage surrounding shady contract management on some major construction projects like the capitals Line 12 Metro, which collapsed in May, killing 25 people and leaving other permanently maimed. On the one hand, supporters of U.S. President Joe Biden point out that his White House has overseen a dramatic U-turn from the Show moredays of the Trump administration in terms of promoting decarbonization and clean energy and should be lauded for passing the (admittedly strangely titled) Inflation Reduction Act. Lpez Obrador thundered against the U.S. proposals. Although the nations Supreme Court has said political parties cannot advertise the recall, Ms. Sheinbaum had spent weeks furiously campaigning in support of the vote, which was seen as a chance for the mayor to recover from the partys losses last year. As the next presidential elections draw nearer, the broader backdrop is discouraging. Mexicowhich has only held what are considered free and fair elections since 2000, when Vicente Fox was elected president with the National Action Party (PAN)is a democracy in diapers, Castaeda said. With little response, the Trump attacks have helped redefine DeSantis with Trumps intense political base, of which DeSantis will have to erode to be viable in a 2024 Republican presidential primary. o get tough on Beijing. Mexico's President loses grip on power in midterm elections marred by Youre on the list! Colombia, in particular, moved from partially free to free in Freedom Houses latest report, jumping six points from last year. The citys mayor, Claudia Sheinbaum, a member of his party, is widely assumed to be among the likeliest contenders for the nations top job after Mr. Lpez Obradors term is up. For Rudman, the parallels between Mexicos current institutional reforms and the early days of some of the established authoritarian regimes in Latin America today, including Venezuela and Nicaragua, are too glaring to ignore. Neither Sheinbaum nor Ebrard are particularly loved by the masses, but AMLOs popularity remains consistently high, so his blessing means everything. In weakening democratic institutions, incumbents across the Americas in recent elections have made desperate attempts to strengthen or perpetuate their grasps on power. The public debate centers almost exclusively on who the MORENA candidate will be. To find out, FPs Ravi Agrawal spoke to John Kerry, Bidens special envoy for climate. The states current MORENA-affiliated governor, Layda Sansores, has accused him of illicit enrichment during his 20152019 mandate and released incriminating recordings. The GOP field is expected to get fairly crowded. Commenting on this and other recent articles is just one benefit of a Foreign Policy subscription. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on Jan. 8. To be valid, the recall must be approved by an absolute majority of valid votes, and the turnout must be at least 40%. Ron DeSantis is poised to jump into the presidential fray as soon as mid-May, four GOP operatives familiar with the conversations told NBC News. Mexicans living overseas can vote if they have fulfilled the correct legal procedures. With the next presidential election about two years away, the recall referendum also presented an opportunity for Mr. Lpez Obrador to test his partys strengths and weaknesses across the country, and determine who might be best positioned to succeed him. The leader of Turkeys main opposition party, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, is currently leading in the polls. "Let's finish this job I know we can," Biden says in the clip. His campaign has filedpaperwork with the Federal Election Commission confirming those plans. There are some real concerns about whether Mexicans will continue to believe in their democratic system and their democratic institutions if the reforms play out the way President Lpez Obrador seems to want, in the sense that he wants the legislation to be upheld, said Andrew Rudman, director of the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center. This is a list of presidents of the United States by time in office.The listed number of days is calculated as the difference between dates, which counts the number of calendar days except the last day. A July 22 editorial in the Washington Post, which admittedly is not a great fan of AMLO, titled Who Will Be Mexicos Next President? If possible, verify the text with references provided in the foreign-language article. El sexenio de Lpez Obrador durar poco menos de 6 aos y la causa de esto, no es un 'complot', ms bien se debe a que as lo establece la ley en materia poltica-electoral tras una reforma aprobada el 10 de febrero de 2014 .